BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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S Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 120 Overall: (16-16) Overall Strength =   29.96
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (10-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      29.96  83  42   ZZ 133 ( 0- 1) McKendree              -0.00 *   41.00                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W   *  28.20 101  78    1 356 ( 4-27) Missouri KC            -1.75     24.75                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L   *  33.74  81  86 1  1  67 (24-13) Nevada                  3.79     -8.79                      
 4 11-17-2025 Away    L   *  25.59  85  92    1 121 (26- 8) N Dakota St            -4.36     -2.64                      
 5 11-23-2025 Neutral W   *  38.17  79  59    1 288 (10-21) Delaware                8.21     11.79                      
 6 11-24-2025 Neutral L   *  22.16  73  81    1 128 (20-12) Alabama-Birmingham     -7.80     -0.20                      
 7 11-26-2025 Away    L   *  16.50  58  74    1 123 (13-19) Memphis               -13.46     -2.54                      
 8 11-29-2025 Home    W   *  21.97  74  65    1 309 (12-20) Ark Little Rock        -7.99     16.99                      
 9 12-03-2025 Away    W   *  39.60  86  84    1  99 (31- 5) High Point              9.65     -7.65                      
10 12-10-2025 Home    W   *  48.09  83  54    1 229 (22-11) TN Martin              18.13     10.87                      
11 12-13-2025 Away    L   *  21.29  84  93 1  1 138 (15-17) Richmond               -8.67     -0.33                      
12 12-18-2025 Home    L * *  24.15  68  75    1  89 (23-12) Illinois St            -5.80     -1.20                      
13 12-21-2025 Away    L * *  28.56  69  73    1 122 (21-13) Bradley                -1.40     -2.60                      
14 12-29-2025 Away    L * *  29.92  81  84    1 124 (20-13) Murray St              -0.03     -2.97                      
15 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  28.69  75  70    1 161 (18-15) Valparaiso             -1.27      6.27                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    W * *  39.14  68  67    1  69 (26- 6) Belmont                 9.19     -8.19                      
17 01-07-2026 Away    L * *  20.35  57  70    1 110 (19-16) IL Chicago             -9.61     -3.39                      
18 01-14-2026 Home    L * *  19.76  73  76 1  1 177 (14-20) Drake                 -10.20      7.20                      
19 01-17-2026 Home    L * *  27.74  68  73    1  69 (26- 6) Belmont                -2.22     -2.78                      
20 01-21-2026 Away    L * *  23.09  63  69    1 161 (18-15) Valparaiso             -6.86      0.86                      
21 01-28-2026 Home    W * *  47.14  65  50    1  85 (23-13) Northern Iowa          17.18     -2.18                      
22 01-31-2026 Home    L * *  25.95  66  68    1 110 (19-16) IL Chicago             -4.01      2.01                      
23 02-03-2026 Away    W * *  40.56  54  50    1  89 (23-12) Illinois St            10.60     -6.60                      
24 02-06-2026 Home    L * *  17.52  81  91    1 124 (20-13) Murray St             -12.44      2.44                      
25 02-09-2026 Away    W * *  41.82  80  65    1 193 (11-21) Indiana St             11.86      3.14                      
26 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  40.92  86  60    1 290 ( 7-25) Evansville             10.96     15.04                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    L * *  17.15  60  70    1 122 (21-13) Bradley               -12.81      2.81                      
28 02-18-2026 Away    W * *  33.17  66  61    1 177 (14-20) Drake                   3.21      1.79                      
29 02-21-2026 Away    W * *  39.54  59  57    1  85 (23-13) Northern Iowa           9.59     -7.59                      
30 02-25-2026 Home    W * *  32.41  66  55    1 193 (11-21) Indiana St              2.45      8.55                      
31 03-01-2026 Away    W * *  34.32  81  67    1 290 ( 7-25) Evansville              4.37      9.63                      
32 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  21.47  63  67    1 177 (14-20) Drake                  -8.49      4.49                      
      Averages              29.96  73.0 69.6

Best game:   48.09 = 29 point win over TN Martin
Worst game:  16.50 = 16 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev:   8.94